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Breast cancer risk prediction using a polygenic risk score in the familial setting: a prospective study from the Breast Cancer Family Registry and kConFab.

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Li, Hongyan 
Feng, Bingjian 
Miron, Alexander 
Chen, Xiaoqing 

Abstract

PURPOSE: This study examined the utility of sets of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in familial but non-BRCA-associated breast cancer (BC). METHODS: We derived a polygenic risk score (PRS) based on 24 known BC risk SNPs for 4,365 women from the Breast Cancer Family Registry and Kathleen Cuningham Consortium Foundation for Research into Familial Breast Cancer familial BC cohorts. We compared scores for women based on cancer status at baseline; 2,599 women unaffected at enrollment were followed-up for an average of 7.4 years. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to analyze the association of PRS with BC risk. The BOADICEA risk prediction algorithm was used to measure risk based on family history alone. RESULTS: The mean PRS at baseline was 2.25 (SD, 0.35) for affected women and was 2.17 (SD, 0.35) for unaffected women from combined cohorts (P < 10-6). During follow-up, 205 BC cases occurred. The hazard ratios for continuous PRS (per SD) and upper versus lower quintiles were 1.38 (95% confidence interval: 1.22-1.56) and 3.18 (95% confidence interval: 1.84-5.23) respectively. Based on their PRS-based predicted risk, management for up to 23% of women could be altered. CONCLUSION: Including BC-associated SNPs in risk assessment can provide more accurate risk prediction than family history alone and can influence recommendations for cancer screening and prevention modalities for high-risk women.Genet Med 19 1, 30-35.

Description

Keywords

Adult, Aged, Breast Neoplasms, Early Detection of Cancer, Female, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Humans, Middle Aged, Multifactorial Inheritance, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Registries, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors

Journal Title

Genet Med

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

1098-3600
1530-0366

Volume Title

Publisher

Elsevier BV
Sponsorship
National Cancer Institute (U19CA148065)
National Institutes of Health