Repository logo
 

Power analysis to detect treatment effects in longitudinal clinical trials for Alzheimer's disease

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Huang, Z 
Muniz-Terrera, G 
Tom, BDM 

Abstract

Introduction Assessing cognitive and functional changes at the early stage of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and detecting treatment effects in clinical trials for early AD are challenging. Methods Under the assumption that transformed versions of the Mini–Mental State Examination, the Clinical Dementia Rating Scale–Sum of Boxes, and the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale–Cognitive Subscale tests'/components' scores are from a multivariate linear mixed-effects model, we calculated the sample sizes required to detect treatment effects on the annual rates of change in these three components in clinical trials for participants with mild cognitive impairment. Results Our results suggest that a large number of participants would be required to detect a clinically meaningful treatment effect in a population with preclinical or prodromal Alzheimer's disease. We found that the transformed Mini–Mental State Examination is more sensitive for detecting treatment effects in early AD than the transformed Clinical Dementia Rating Scale–Sum of Boxes and Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale–Cognitive Subscale. The use of optimal weights to construct powerful test statistics or sensitive composite scores/endpoints can reduce the required sample sizes needed for clinical trials. Conclusion Consideration of the multivariate/joint distribution of components' scores rather than the distribution of a single composite score when designing clinical trials can lead to an increase in power and reduced sample sizes for detecting treatment effects in clinical trials for early AD.

Description

Keywords

power analysis, clinical trial, sample size, multivariate linear mixed-effects model, composite score, Alzheimer's disease

Journal Title

Alzheimer's & Dementia: Translational Research and Clinical Interventions

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

2352-8737
2352-8737

Volume Title

3

Publisher

elsevier
Sponsorship
MRC (unknown)
This work has received support from the EU/EFPIA Innovative Medicines Initiative Joint Undertaking EPAD grant agreement no. 115736 and MRC programme grant (MC_ UP_1302/3). Data collection and sharing for this project was funded by the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) (National Institutes of Health grant U01 AG024904) and DOD ADNI (Department of Defense award number W81XWH-12-2-0012).