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Stock prices and monetary policy shocks: A general equilibrium approach

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

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Authors

Challe, E 
Giannitsarou, Chryssi  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1488-2433

Abstract

Empirical literature documents that unexpected changes in the nominal interest rates have a significant effect on real stock prices: a 100-basis point increase in the nominal interest rate is associated with an immediate decrease in broad real stock indices that may range from 2.2 to 9%, followed by a gradual decay as real stock prices revert towards their long-run expected value. We assess the ability of a general equilibrium New Keynesian asset-pricing model to account for these facts. We consider a production economy with elastic labor supply, staggered price and wage setting, as well as time-varying risk aversion through habit formation. We find that the model predicts a stock market response to policy shocks that matches empirical estimates, both qualitatively and quantitatively. Our findings are robust to a range of variations and parametrizations of the model.

Description

Keywords

monetary policy, asset prices, New Keynesian general equilibrium mode

Journal Title

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0165-1889
1879-1743

Volume Title

40

Publisher

Elsevier
Sponsorship
Edouard Challe acknowledges the support of chaire FDIR. Chryssi Giannitsarou acknowledges support from the Economic and Social Research Council (grant number ES/K002112/1).