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Inferring within-host bottleneck size: A Bayesian approach.

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

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Authors

Dybowski, R 
Price, DJ 

Abstract

Recent technical developments in microbiology have led to new discoveries on the within-host dynamics of bacterial infections in laboratory animals. In particular, they have highlighted the importance of stochastic bottlenecks at the onset of invasive disease. A number of approaches exist for bottleneck-size estimation with respect to within-host bacterial infections; however, some are more appropriate than others under certain circumstances. A Bayesian comparison of several approaches is made in terms of the availability of isogenic multitype bacteria (e.g., WITS), knowledge of post-bottleneck dynamics, and the suitability of dilution with monotype bacteria. A sampling approach to bottleneck-size estimation is also introduced. The results are summarised by a guiding flowchart, which we hope will promote the use of quantitative models in microbiology to refine the analysis of animal experiment data.

Description

Keywords

Bayesian inference, Bottlenecks, Salmonella, Wildtype isogenic tagged strains (WITS), Animals, Bacterial Infections, Bayes Theorem, Host-Pathogen Interactions, Microbiota, Models, Biological

Journal Title

J Theor Biol

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0022-5193
1095-8541

Volume Title

435

Publisher

Elsevier BV
Sponsorship
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BB/M000982/1)
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BB/M020193/1)
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BB/I002189/1)
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