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Financial Networks and Contagion

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Golub, Benjamin 
Jackson, Matthew O 

Abstract

jats:p We study cascades of failures in a network of interdependent financial organizations: how discontinuous changes in asset values (e.g., defaults and shutdowns) trigger further failures, and how this depends on network structure. Integration (greater dependence on counterparties) and diversification (more counterparties per organization) have different, nonmonotonic effects on the extent of cascades. Diversification connects the network initially, permitting cascades to travel; but as it increases further, organizations are better insured against one another's failures. Integration also faces trade-offs: increased dependence on other organizations versus less sensitivity to own investments. Finally, we illustrate the model with data on European debt cross-holdings. (JEL D85, F15, F34, F36, F65, G15, G32, G33, G38) </jats:p>

Description

Keywords

3502 Banking, Finance and Investment, 35 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services, Brain Disorders

Journal Title

American Economic Review

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0002-8282

Volume Title

104

Publisher

American Economic Association