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The Gaussian Process Autoregressive Regression Model (GPAR)

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Conference Object

Change log

Authors

Requeima, James 
Bruinsma, Wessel 
Turner, Richard E 

Abstract

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have limited representational power. We present the Gaussian Process Autoregressive Regression (GPAR) model, a scalable multi-output GP model that is able to capture nonlinear, possibly input-varying, dependencies between outputs in a simple and tractable way: the product rule is used to decompose the joint distribution over the outputs into a set of conditionals, each of which is modelled by a standard GP. GPAR's efficacy is demonstrated on a variety of synthetic and real-world problems, outperforming existing GP models and achieving state-of-the-art performance on established benchmarks.

Description

Keywords

stat.ML, stat.ML

Journal Title

AISTATS 2019 - 22nd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics

Conference Name

The 22nd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

89

Publisher

Proceedings of Machine Learning Research

Rights

All rights reserved