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A study on the transferability of computational models of building electricity load patterns across climatic zones

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Wong, Cheryl Sze Yin 
Chong, Adrian 
Choudhary, Ruchi 
Ramasamy, Savitha 

Abstract

Significant reduction in energy demand from non-domestic buildings is required if greenhouse emission reduction targets are to be met worldwide. Increasing monitoring of electricity consumption generates a real opportunity for gaining an in-depth understanding of the nature of occupant-related internal loads and the connection between activity and demand. The stochastic nature of the demand is well-known but as yet there is no accepted methodology for generating stochastic loads for building energy simulation. This paper presents evidence that it is feasible to generate stochastic models of activity-related electricity demand based on monitored data. Two machine learning approaches are used to develop stochastic models of plug loads; an autoencoder (AE) and a functional data analysis (FDA) model. Using data from two office buildings located in different countries, the transferability of models is explored by training the models on data from one building and using the trained models to predict demand for the other building. The results show that both models predict plug loads satisfactorily, with a good agreement with the mean demand and quantification of the uncertainty.

Description

Keywords

Electricity demand, Plug loads, Stochastic model, Machine learning, Transferability, Autoencoder (AE), Functional Data Analysis (FDA)

Journal Title

ENERGY AND BUILDINGS

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0378-7788
1872-6178

Volume Title

237

Publisher

Elsevier BV
Sponsorship
EPSRC (1492758)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/F034350/1)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/I019308/1)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/K000314/1)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/L010917/1)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/L024454/1)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/N021614/1)
EPSRC (via Alan Turing Institute) (EP/T001569/1)