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How Production Networks Amplify Economic Growth

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

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Authors

Pereira Marques de Carvalho, Vasco 
Caravelli, Francesco  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7964-3030
Savoie, Charles 
Doyne Farmer, J 

Abstract

Technological improvement is the most important cause of long-term economic growth. We study the effects of technology improvement in the setting of a production network, in which each producer buys input goods and converts them to other goods, selling the product to households or other producers. We show how this network amplifies the effects of technological improvements as they propagate along chains of production. Longer production chains for an industry bias it towards faster price reduction, and longer production chains for a country bias it towards faster GDP growth. These predictions are in good agreement with data and improve with the passage of time, demonstrating a key influence of production chains in price change and output growth over the long term.

Description

Keywords

economic growth, price evolution, production networks, technology change

Journal Title

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of USA

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0027-8424
1091-6490

Volume Title

Publisher

National Academy of Sciences
Sponsorship
Leverhulme Trust (PLP-2016-209)
Alan Turing Institute (Turing-HSBC Programme)
European Commission Horizon 2020 (H2020) ERC (101001221)
ERC Consolidator Grant; Leverhulme Prize