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Mafia and public spending: Evidence on the fiscal multiplier from a quasi-experiment


Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Acconcia, A 
Corsetti, Giancarlo  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8965-9853
Simonelli, S 

Abstract

jats:p A law issued to combat political corruption and Mafia infiltration of city councils in Italy has resulted in episodes of large, unanticipated, temporary contractions in local public spending. Using these episodes as instruments, we estimate the output multiplier of spending cuts at provincial level—controlling for national monetary and fiscal policy, and holding the tax burden of local residents constant—to be 1.5. Assuming that lagged spending is exogenous to current output brings the estimate of the overall multiplier up to 1.9. These results suggest that local spending adjustment may be quite consequential for local activity. (JEL D72, E62, H71, K42) </jats:p>

Description

Keywords

38 Economics, 3802 Econometrics, 3803 Economic Theory, 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

Journal Title

American Economic Review

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0002-8282
1944-7981

Volume Title

104

Publisher

American Economic Association

Rights

DSpace@Cambridge license
Sponsorship
The work on this paper is part of PEGGED (Politics, Economics and Global Governance: The European Dimensions), Contract no. SSH7-CT-2008-217559 within the seventh Framework Programme for Research and Technological Development. Support from the Pierre Werner Chair Programme at the European University Institute is also gratefully acknowledged.