Modelling the future mass balance of glaciated Northwest Spitsbergen, Svalbard for a range of socio-economic trajectories
View / Open Files
Authors
Cogbill, Rhiannon
Advisors
Willis, Ian
Date
2015-09-29Awarding Institution
University of Cambridge
Author Affiliation
Scott Polar Research Institute
Qualification
Master of Philosophy (MPhil)
Language
English
Type
Thesis
Metadata
Show full item recordCitation
Cogbill, R. (2015). Modelling the future mass balance of glaciated Northwest Spitsbergen, Svalbard for a range of socio-economic trajectories (Masters thesis). https://doi.org/10.17863/CAM.8749
Abstract
Spitsbergen, Svalbard, is covered by approximately 22,000 km2 of glaciers, which are particularly sensitive to the enhanced global warming expected over the region (Nuth et al., 2010; Miao et al., 2014). Loss of these glaciers has global, regional and local implications. The study transiently models the 2006-2100 climatic mass balance of glaciers in Northwest Spitsbergen for different socio-economic scenarios using a low-complexity, tractable approach. Glaciated Northwest Spitsbergen is projected to experience 31.3 ? 17.3% volume loss (1.11 ? 0.61 mm of sea level rise) from 2006-2100. The model represents the future patterns well but constantly underestimates volume loss. Overall the study emphasises the uncertain future for glaciated Northwest Spitsbergen, and the place for low-complexity modelling in current research.
Identifiers
This record's DOI: https://doi.org/10.17863/CAM.8749