Do sovereign wealth funds dampen the negative effects of commodity price volatility?
Journal of Commodity Markets
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Mohaddes, K., & Raissi, M. (2017). Do sovereign wealth funds dampen the negative effects of commodity price volatility?. Journal of Commodity Markets, 8 18-27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcomm.2017.08.004
This paper studies the impact of commodity terms of trade (CToT) volatility on economic growth (and its sources) in a sample of 69 commodity-dependent countries, and assesses the role of Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) and quality of institutions in their long-term growth performance. Using annual data over the period 1981–2014, we employ the Cross-Sectionally augmented Autoregressive Distributive Lag (CS-ARDL) methodology for estimation to account for cross-country heterogeneity, cross-sectional dependence, and feedback effects. We find that while CToT volatility exerts a negative impact on economic growth (operating through lower accumulation of physical capital and lower TFP), the average impact is dampened if a country has a SWF and better institutional quality (hence a more stable government expenditure).
economic growth, commodity prices, volatility, sovereign wealth funds
Kamiar Mohaddes acknowledges financial support from the Economic Research Forum (ERF).
External DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcomm.2017.08.004
This record's URL: https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/267866