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Assessing causality in associations between cannabis use and schizophrenia risk: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Gage, SH 
Jones, HJ 
Bowden, J 
Davey Smith, G 

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Observational associations between cannabis and schizophrenia are well documented, but ascertaining causation is more challenging. We used Mendelian randomization (MR), utilizing publicly available data as a method for ascertaining causation from observational data. METHOD: We performed bi-directional two-sample MR using summary-level genome-wide data from the International Cannabis Consortium (ICC) and the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium (PGC2). Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with cannabis initiation (p < 10-5) and schizophrenia (p < 5 × 10-8) were combined using an inverse-variance-weighted fixed-effects approach. We also used height and education genome-wide association study data, representing negative and positive control analyses. RESULTS: There was some evidence consistent with a causal effect of cannabis initiation on risk of schizophrenia [odds ratio (OR) 1.04 per doubling odds of cannabis initiation, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.07, p = 0.019]. There was strong evidence consistent with a causal effect of schizophrenia risk on likelihood of cannabis initiation (OR 1.10 per doubling of the odds of schizophrenia, 95% CI 1.05-1.14, p = 2.64 × 10-5). Findings were as predicted for the negative control (height: OR 1.00, 95% CI 0.99-1.01, p = 0.90) but weaker than predicted for the positive control (years in education: OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.97-1.00, p = 0.066) analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Our results provide some that cannabis initiation increases the risk of schizophrenia, although the size of the causal estimate is small. We find stronger evidence that schizophrenia risk predicts cannabis initiation, possibly as genetic instruments for schizophrenia are stronger than for cannabis initiation.

Description

Keywords

Cannabis, Mendelian randomization, genetics, schizophrenia, Genome-Wide Association Study, Humans, Marijuana Use, Mendelian Randomization Analysis, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Risk, Schizophrenia

Journal Title

Psychol Med

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0033-2917
1469-8978

Volume Title

47

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Sponsorship
Medical Research Council (MR/L003120/1)
Medical Research Council (G0800270)
Wellcome Trust (100114/Z/12/Z)
British Heart Foundation (None)
British Heart Foundation (None)
Medical Research Council (MR/M006727/1)
Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00002/7)
Wellcome Trust (204623/Z/16/Z)
Medical Research Council (G0800270/1)