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The Multivariate Generalised von Mises distribution: Inference and applications

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Conference Object

Change log

Authors

Turner, RE 
Frellsen, Jes 
Navarro, Alexandre 

Abstract

Circular variables arise in a multitude of data-modelling contexts ranging from robotics to the social sciences, but they have been largely overlooked by the machine learning community. This paper partially redresses this imbalance by extending some standard probabilistic modelling tools to the circular domain. First we introduce a new multivariate distribution over circular variables, called the multivariate Generalised von Mises (mGvM) distribution. This distribution can be constructed by restricting and renormalising a general multivariate Gaussian distribution to the unit hyper-torus. Previously proposed multivariate circular distributions are shown to be special cases of this construction. Second, we introduce a new probabilistic model for circular regression, that is inspired by Gaussian Processes, and a method for probabilistic principal component analysis with circular hidden variables. These models can leverage standard modelling tools (e.g. covariance functions and methods for automatic relevance determination). Third, we show that the posterior distribution in these models is a mGvM distribution which enables development of an efficient variational free-energy scheme for performing approximate inference and approximate maximum-likelihood learning.

Description

Keywords

Circular statistics, Bayesian inference, Approximate inference, Kernels, Gaussian Processes

Journal Title

Proceedings of the Thirty-First AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-17)

Conference Name

AAAI 2017

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

The AAAI Press
Sponsorship
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/M026957/1)
AKWN thanks CAPES grant BEX 9407-11-1. JF thanks the Danish Council for Independent Research grant 0602- 02909B. RET thanks EPSRC grants EP/L000776/1 and EP/M026957/1.