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dc.contributor.authorLiu, Yangen
dc.contributor.authorPrice, Huwen
dc.date.accessioned2018-09-06T08:50:09Z
dc.date.available2018-09-06T08:50:09Z
dc.date.issued2020-10-01en
dc.identifier.issn0039-7857
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/279678
dc.description.abstractCan an agent deliberating about an action A hold a meaningful credence that she will do A? 'No', say some authors, for 'Deliberation Crowds Out Prediction' (DCOP). Others disagree, but we argue here that such disagreements are often terminological. We explain why DCOP holds in a Ramseyian operationalist model of credence, but show that it is trivial to extend this model so that DCOP fails. We then discuss a model due to Joyce, and show that Joyce's rejection of DCOP rests on terminological choices about terms such as 'intention', 'prediction', and 'belief'. Once these choices are in view, they reveal underlying agreement between Joyce and the DCOP-favouring tradition that descends from Ramsey. Joyce's Evidential Autonomy Thesis (EAT) is effectively DCOP, in different terminological clothing. Both principles rest on the so-called 'transparency' of first-person present-tensed reflection on one's own mental states.
dc.description.sponsorshipTempleton World Charity Foundation
dc.publisherSpringer Nature
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.titleRamsey and Joyce on deliberation and predictionen
dc.typeArticle
prism.endingPage4386
prism.issueIdentifier10en
prism.publicationDate2020en
prism.publicationNameSyntheseen
prism.startingPage4365
prism.volume197en
dc.identifier.doi10.17863/CAM.27043
dcterms.dateAccepted2018-08-27en
rioxxterms.versionofrecord10.1007/s11229-018-01926-8en
rioxxterms.versionAMen
rioxxterms.licenseref.urihttp://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserveden
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate2020-10-01en
dc.contributor.orcidLiu, Yang [0000-0001-8865-4647]
dc.contributor.orcidPrice, Huw [0000-0002-9091-760X]
dc.identifier.eissn1573-0964
rioxxterms.typeJournal Article/Reviewen
pubs.funder-project-idTempleton World Charity Foundation (TWCF) (177155)
cam.orpheus.successThu Jan 30 10:54:35 GMT 2020 - The item has an open VoR version.*
rioxxterms.freetoread.startdate2100-01-01


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Attribution 4.0 International
Except where otherwise noted, this item's licence is described as Attribution 4.0 International