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Targeted opportunities to address the climate-trade dilemma in China

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Liu, Z 
Davis, SJ 
Feng, K 
Hubacek, K 
Liang, S 

Abstract

International trade has become the fastest growing driver of global carbon emissions, with large quantities of emissions embodied in exports from emerging economies. International trade with emerging economies poses a dilemma for climate and trade policy: to the extent emerging markets have comparative advantages in manufacturing, such trade is economically efficient and desirable. However, if carbon-intensive manufacturing in emerging countries such as China entails drastically more CO2 emissions than making the same product elsewhere, then trade increases global CO2 emissions. Here we show that the emissions embodied in Chinese exports, which are larger than the annual emissions of Japan or Germany, are primarily the result of China’s coal-based energy mix and the very high emissions intensity (emission per unit of economic value) in a few provinces and industry sectors. Exports from these provinces and sectors therefore represent targeted opportunities to address the climate–trade dilemma by either improving production technologies and decarbonizing the underlying energy systems or else reducing trade volumes.

Description

Keywords

38 Economics, 4104 Environmental Management, 41 Environmental Sciences, 13 Climate Action

Journal Title

Nature Climate Change

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

1758-678X
1758-6798

Volume Title

6

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC