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Modeling space preferences for accurate occupancy prediction during the design phase

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Abstract

The accurate prediction of occupancy during the design phase of a building helps architects to improve space efficiency by eliminating the possible under-utilization and over-crowding of space during the design use phase. However, existing models exhibit limited accuracy in occupancy prediction. A major reason for this limitation is that spatial-choice behavior is ignored or oversimplified. We therefore developed a space-preference model to explain spatial-choice behavior, with a particular focus on individual work-related activities. For this purpose, we conducted a discrete-choice experiment: 2048 observations of spatial choices were collected, and a conditional logit model was used to model space preferences. The application of the space-preference model was illustrated by two case examples, with which the merits of the model were highlighted. It was then validated in a predictive success test and a case study. The model will help architects to assess potential over-crowding and under-utilization of space according to different design options.

Description

Keywords

Occupancy prediction, Occupant behavior, Building simulation, Space utilization, Spatial choice behavior

Journal Title

Automation in Construction

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0926-5805
1872-7891

Volume Title

93

Publisher

Elsevier BV
Sponsorship
This work was supported by the Hong Kong Polytechnic University: [grant number 1-ZVHW]. This work was also supported by Incheon National University Research Grant in 2017.