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Step away from the zero lower bound: Small open economies in a world of secular stagnation

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Corsetti, Giancarlo  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8965-9853
Mavroeidi, Eleonora 
Thwaites, Gregory 
Wolf, Martin 

Abstract

We study how small open economies can escape from deflation and unemployment in a situation where the world economy is permanently depressed. Building on the framework of Eggertsson et al. (2016), we show that the transition to full employment and at-target inflation requires real and nominal depreciation of the exchange rate. However, because of adverse income and valuation effects from real depreciation, the escape has a beggar- thy-self effect, that may end up lowering welfare while eliminating underemployment. We show that as long as the economy remains financially open, domestic asset supply policies or reducing the effective lower bound on policy rates may be ineffective or even counter- productive. However, closing domestic capital markets does not necessarily enhance the monetary authorities’ ability to rescue the economy from stagnation.

Description

Keywords

38 Economics, 3801 Applied Economics, 3802 Econometrics, 3803 Economic Theory, 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth

Journal Title

Journal of International Economics

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0022-1996
1873-0353

Volume Title

116

Publisher

Elsevier
Sponsorship
Economic and Social Research Council (ES/R009295/1)