Repository logo
 

The influence of patient case mix on public health area statistics for cancer stage at diagnosis: a cross-sectional study.

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

No Thumbnail Available

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Barclay, Matthew E 
Abel, Gary A 
Elliss-Brookes, Lucy 
Greenberg, David C 
Lyratzopoulos, Georgios  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2873-7421

Abstract

BACKGROUND: statistics comparing the stage at diagnosis of geographically defined populations of cancer patients are increasingly used in public reporting to monitor geographical inequalities but may be confounded by patient case mix. We explore the impact of case-mix adjustment on a publicly reported measure of early stage at diagnosis in England. METHODS: We analyzed data used for publicly reported statistics about the stage of patients diagnosed with 1 of 11 solid tumours in 2015 in England, including information on cancer site (bladder, breast, colon, rectum, kidney, lung, melanoma, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, ovarian, prostate, endometrial), age, gender, income deprivation and population-based commissioning organization. We investigated how cancer site and other patient characteristics influence organizational comparisons and attainment of early-stage targets (≥60% of all cases diagnosed in TNM stages I-II). RESULTS: Adjusting for patient case mix reduced between-organization variance by more than 50%, resulting in appreciable discordance in organizational ranks (Kendall's tau = 0.53), with 18% (37/207) of organizations being reclassified as meeting/failing the early-stage target due to case mix. CONCLUSION: Summary statistics on stage of cancer diagnosis for geographical populations currently used as public health surveillance tools to monitor organizational inequalities need to account for patient sociodemographic characteristics and cancer site case mix.

Description

Keywords

Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cross-Sectional Studies, England, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasm Staging, Public Health, Registries, Risk Adjustment, Socioeconomic Factors

Journal Title

Eur J Public Health

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

1101-1262
1464-360X

Volume Title

29

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)