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Bidder earnings forecasts in mergers and acquisitions

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

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Type

Article

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Authors

Amel-Zadeh, A 
Meeks, G 

Abstract

This study finds that pro-forma earnings forecasts by bidding firms during acquisitions are associated with a higher likelihood of deal completion, expedited deal closing, and with a lower acquisition premium − but only in stock-financed acquisitions. Analysts also respond to these forecasts by revising their forecasts for the bidder upward. However, the benefits of forecast disclosure only accrue to bidders with a strong forecasting reputation prior to the acquisition. Explaining why not all bidders forecast, we document a higher likelihood of post-merger litigation and CEO turnover for bidders with a weak forecasting reputation and for those that underperform post-merger.

Description

Keywords

3501 Accounting, Auditing and Accountability, 3502 Banking, Finance and Investment, 35 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services, 3507 Strategy, Management and Organisational Behaviour

Journal Title

Journal of Corporate Finance

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0929-1199

Volume Title

58

Publisher

Elsevier BV