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Addition of a 161-SNP polygenic risk score to family history-based risk prediction: impact on clinical management in non-BRCA1/2 breast cancer families.

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

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Authors

Hilbers, Florentine S 
Rodríguez-Girondo, Mar 
Lee, Andrew 
Vreeswijk, Maaike PG  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4068-9271

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The currently known breast cancer-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are presently not used to guide clinical management. We explored whether a genetic test that incorporates a SNP-based polygenic risk score (PRS) is clinically meaningful in non-BRCA1/2 high-risk breast cancer families. METHODS: 101 non-BRCA1/2 high-risk breast cancer families were included; 323 cases and 262 unaffected female relatives were genotyped. The 161-SNP PRS was calculated and standardised to 327 population controls (sPRS). Association analysis was performed using a Cox-type random effect regression model adjusted by family history. Updated individualised breast cancer lifetime risk scores were derived by combining the Breast and Ovarian Analysis of Disease Incidence and Carrier Estimation Algorithm breast cancer lifetime risk with the effect of the sPRS. RESULTS: The mean sPRS for cases and their unaffected relatives was 0.70 (SD=0.9) and 0.53 (SD=0.9), respectively. A significant association was found between sPRS and breast cancer, HR=1.16, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.28, p=0.026. Addition of the sPRS to risk prediction based on family history alone changed screening recommendations in 11.5%, 14.7% and 19.8 % of the women according to breast screening guidelines from the USA (National Comprehensive Cancer Network), UK (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence and the Netherlands (Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organisation), respectively. CONCLUSION: Our results support the application of the PRS in risk prediction and clinical management of women from genetically unexplained breast cancer families.

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Keywords

cancer: breast, clinical genetics, genetic epidemiology, genetic screening/counselling, polygenic risk score, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Alleles, Biomarkers, Tumor, Breast Neoplasms, Case-Control Studies, Clinical Decision-Making, Disease Management, Genetic Association Studies, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genotype, Humans, Middle Aged, Pedigree, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment, Young Adult

Journal Title

J Med Genet

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0022-2593
1468-6244

Volume Title

56

Publisher

BMJ

Rights

All rights reserved
Sponsorship
This work was supported by the Dutch Cancer Society (KWF), grants UL2009-4388 and UL2014-7473.