Repository logo
 

Modelling outcomes after paediatric brain injury with admission laboratory values: a machine-learning approach.

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Kayhanian, Saeed 
Young, Adam MH 
Jalloh, Ibrahim 
Fernandes, Helen M 

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a leading cause of mortality in children, but the accurate prediction of outcomes at the point of admission remains very challenging. Admission laboratory results are a promising potential source of prognostic data, but have not been widely explored in paediatric cohorts. Herein, we use machine-learning methods to analyse 14 different serum parameters together and develop a prognostic model to predict 6-month outcomes in children with severe TBI. METHODS: A retrospective review of patients admitted to Cambridge University Hospital's Paediatric Intensive Care Unit between 2009 and 2013 with a TBI. The data for 14 admission serum parameters were recorded. Logistic regression and a support vector machine (SVM) were trained with these data against dichotimised outcomes from the recorded 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale. RESULTS: Ninety-four patients were identified. Admission levels of lactate, H+, and glucose were identified as being the most informative of 6-month outcomes. Four different models were produced. The SVM using just the three most informative parameters was the best able to predict favourable outcomes at 6 months (sensitivity = 80%, specificity = 99%). CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate the potential for highly accurate outcome prediction after severe paediatric TBI using admission laboratory data.

Description

Keywords

Brain Injuries, Child, Female, Humans, Machine Learning, Male, Patient Admission, Treatment Outcome

Journal Title

Pediatr Res

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0031-3998
1530-0447

Volume Title

86

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Rights

All rights reserved
Sponsorship
European Commission (602150)
Medical Research Council (G1002277)
Medical Research Council (G0600986)
Medical Research Council (G0600986/1)
Medical Research Council (G1002277/1)