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Assessment of Vascular Event Prevention and Cognitive Function Among Older Adults With Preexisting Vascular Disease or Diabetes: A Secondary Analysis of 3 Randomized Clinical Trials.

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Offer, Alison 
Clarke, Robert 
Bennett, Derrick 
Bowman, Louise 

Abstract

IMPORTANCE: Acquisition of reliable randomized clinical trial evidence of the effects of cardiovascular interventions on cognitive decline is a priority. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the association of cognitive aging with the avoidance of vascular events in cardiovascular intervention trials and understand whether reports of nonsignificant results exclude worthwhile benefit. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This secondary analysis of 3 randomized clinical trials in participants with preexisting occlusive vascular disease or diabetes included survivors to final in-trial follow-up in the Heart Protection Study (HPS), Study of the Effectiveness of Additional Reductions in Cholesterol and Homocysteine (SEARCH), and Treatment of HDL (High-Density Lipoprotein) to Reduce the Incidence of Vascular Events (HPS2-THRIVE) trials of lipid modification for prevention of cardiovascular events. Data were collected from February 1994 through January 2013 and analyzed from January 2015 through December 2018. EXPOSURES: Incident vascular events and diabetes and statin therapy. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Cognitive function was assessed at the end of a mean (SD) of 4.9 (1.5) years of follow-up using a 14-item verbal test. Associations of the incidence of vascular events and new-onset diabetes during the trials, with cognitive function at final in-trial follow-up were estimated and expressed as years of cognitive aging (using the association of the score with age >60 years). The benefit on cognitive aging mediated through the effects of lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels on events was estimated by applying these findings to nonfatal event differences observed with statin therapy in the HPS trial. RESULTS: Among 45 029 participants undergoing cognitive assessment, mean (SD) age was 67.9 (8.0) years; 80.7% were men. Incident stroke (n = 1197) was associated with 7.1 (95% CI, 5.7-8.5) years of cognitive aging; incident transient ischemic attack, myocardial infarction, heart failure, and new-onset diabetes were associated with 1 to 2 years of cognitive aging. In HPS, randomization to statin therapy for 5 years resulted in 2.0% of survivors avoiding a nonfatal stroke or transient ischemic attack and 2.4% avoiding a nonfatal cardiac event, which yielded an expected reduction in cognitive aging of 0.15 (95% CI, 0.11-0.19) years. With 15 926 participants undergoing cognitive assessment, HPS had 80% power to detect a 1-year (ie, 20% during the 5 years) difference in cognitive aging. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The expected cognitive benefits of the effects of preventive therapies on cardiovascular events during even the largest randomized clinical trials may have been too small to be detectable. Hence, nonsignificant findings may not provide good evidence of a lack of worthwhile benefit on cognitive function with prolonged use of such therapies. TRIAL REGISTRATION: isrctn.com and ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: ISRCTN48489393, ISRCTN74348595, and NCT00461630.

Description

Keywords

Aged, Cognition, Cognitive Aging, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Geriatric Assessment, Humans, Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors, Incidence, Intelligence Tests, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Stroke, Vascular Diseases

Journal Title

JAMA Netw Open

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

2574-3805
2574-3805

Volume Title

2

Publisher

American Medical Association (AMA)
Sponsorship
Medical Research Council (MC_PC_12026)
This work was supported by grants from Merck, Roche, the U.K. Medical Research Council [MRC_MC_U137686853], the British Heart Foundation [CH/1996001/9454], and Cancer Research U.K. to the University of Oxford. The design and conduct of the study, collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data, preparation, review, and approval of the manuscript and the decision to submit the manuscript for publication were all conducted independently of the funders. LB, RH, ML, RCo and JA also report grants from Abbott / Solvay / Mylan, AstraZeneca, Bayer Germany, Novartis, Pfizer, the National Institute for Health Research, UK Biobank and Wellcome Trust to the University of Oxford for work outside the submitted work. RCo reports a prize from Pfizer. RCo and SP have a patent for a statin-related myopathy genetic test with royalties paid to University of Oxford and the Medical Research Council from Boston Heart Diagnostics (RCo and SP have waived any personal reward). The Clinical Trial Service Unit has a staff policy of not accepting honoraria or other payments from the pharmaceutical industry, except for the reimbursement of costs to participate in scientific meetings.