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Multi Agent System for Machine Learning Under Uncertainty in Cyber Physical Manufacturing System

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Conference Object

Change log

Authors

Yong, Bang Xiang 
Brintrup, Alexandra  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4189-2434

Abstract

Recent advancement in predictive machine learning has led to its application in various use cases in manufacturing. Most research focused on maximising predictive accuracy without addressing the uncertainty associated with it. While accuracy is important, focusing primarily on it poses an overfitting danger, exposing manufacturers to risk, ultimately hindering the adoption of these techniques. In this paper, we determine the sources of uncertainty in machine learning and establish the success criteria of a machine learning system to function well under uncertainty in a cyber-physical manufacturing system (CPMS) scenario. Then, we propose a multi-agent system architecture which leverages probabilistic machine learning as a means of achieving such criteria. We propose possible scenarios for which our architecture is useful and discuss future work. Experimentally, we implement Bayesian Neural Networks for multi-tasks classification on a public dataset for the real-time condition monitoring of a hydraulic system and demonstrate the usefulness of the system by evaluating the probability of a prediction being accurate given its uncertainty. We deploy these models using our proposed agent-based framework and integrate web visualisation to demonstrate its real-time feasibility.

Description

Keywords

Journal Title

Service Oriented, Holonic and Multi-agent Manufacturing Systems for Industry of the Future

Conference Name

Workshop on Service Oriented, Holonic and Multi-agent Manufacturing Systems for Industry of the Future

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

853

Publisher

Rights

All rights reserved
Sponsorship
European Association of Metrology Institutes (EURAMET) (17IND12)