Repository logo
 

The Neo-Gouldian Argument for Evolutionary Contingency: Mass Extinctions

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Wong, Tin Yu William  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2750-7990

Abstract

The Gouldian argument for evolutionary contingency found in Wonderful Life (1989) can be dissected into three premises: a palaeontological, a macroevolutionary, and a developmental. Discussions of evolutionary contingency have revolved primarily around the developmental. However, a shift in methodological practice and new palaeontological evidence subsequent to the book’s publication appears to threaten the palaeontological premise that asserts high Cambrian disparity or, roughly, that morphological differences between the Cambrian species were high. This presents a prima facie problem: did the Cambrian consist of enough anatomical variety to fuel a different outcome upon a replay of the tape of life? I investigate the role that disparity plays in the Gouldian argument for evolutionary contingency and conclude that the reduced disparity view does not undermine the argument, per se. As for the macroevolutionary premise, Gould never offered any explicit justification for the idea that species sorting was indiscriminate or `lottery-like' (though he certainly gestured at it). Putting aside the exegetical, I consider certain empirical avenues for underwriting the macroevolutionary premise and argue that the most plausible route is to appeal to the special status of mass extinctions, a move that is not entirely unfamiliar to macro-evolutionists. That is -- mass extinctions can be good sources of contingency due to their being 'chancy' in, at least, three respects. In sum, I update the palaeontological and macroevolutionary premises as to reconstrue the Gouldian argument for evolutionary contingency in its strongest form.

Description

Keywords

Journal Title

The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0007-0882

Volume Title

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Publisher DOI

Publisher URL

Rights

All rights reserved