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dc.contributor.authorMitchell, Emily G.
dc.contributor.authorWallace, Margaret I.
dc.contributor.authorSmith, V. Anne
dc.contributor.authorWiesenthal, Amanda A.
dc.contributor.authorBrierley, Andrew S.
dc.date.accessioned2021-02-12T17:30:11Z
dc.date.available2021-02-12T17:30:11Z
dc.date.issued2021-02-12
dc.date.submitted2020-07-28
dc.identifier.others41598-021-82825-w
dc.identifier.other82825
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/317557
dc.description.abstractAbstract: Robust time-series of direct observations of jellyfish abundance are not available for many ecosystems, leaving it difficult to determine changes in jellyfish abundance, the possible causes (e.g. climate change) or the consequences (e.g. trophic cascades). We sought an indirect ecological route to reconstruct jellyfish abundance in the Irish Sea: since zooplankton are jellyfish prey, historic variability in zooplankton communities may provide proxies for jellyfish abundance. We determined the Bayesian ecological network of jellyfish–zooplankton dependencies using jellyfish- and zooplankton-abundance data obtained using nets during a 2-week cruise to the Irish Sea in 2008. This network revealed that Aurelia aurita abundance was dependent on zooplankton groups Warm Temperate and Temperate Oceanic as defined by previous zooplankton ecology work. We then determined historic zooplankton networks across the Irish Sea from abundance data from Continuous Plankton Recorder surveys conducted between 1970 and 2000. Transposing the 2008 spatial dependencies onto the historic networks revealed that Aurelia abundance was more strongly dependent over time on sea surface temperature than on the zooplankton community. The generalist predatory abilities of Aurelia may have insulated this jellyfish over the 1985 regime shift when zooplankton composition in the Irish Sea changed abruptly, and also help explain its globally widespread distribution.
dc.languageen
dc.publisherNature Publishing Group UK
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)en
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subjectArticle
dc.subject/631/158/853
dc.subject/631/158/672
dc.subject/631/158/2463
dc.subject/631/158/2445
dc.subjectarticle
dc.titleBayesian Network Analysis reveals resilience of the jellyfish Aurelia aurita to an Irish Sea regime shift
dc.typeArticle
dc.date.updated2021-02-12T17:30:11Z
prism.issueIdentifier1
prism.publicationNameScientific Reports
prism.volume11
dc.identifier.doi10.17863/CAM.64670
dcterms.dateAccepted2021-01-25
rioxxterms.versionofrecord10.1038/s41598-021-82825-w
rioxxterms.versionVoR
rioxxterms.licenseref.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.contributor.orcidMitchell, Emily G. [0000-0001-6517-2231]
dc.contributor.orcidSmith, V. Anne [0000-0002-0487-2469]
dc.contributor.orcidWiesenthal, Amanda A. [0000-0002-4374-9607]
dc.contributor.orcidBrierley, Andrew S. [0000-0002-6438-6892]
dc.identifier.eissn2045-2322
pubs.funder-project-idNatural Environment Research Council,United Kingdom (NE/P002412/1)
pubs.funder-project-idNatural Environment Research Council (NE/S014756/1, NE/E010350/1)


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Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
Except where otherwise noted, this item's licence is described as Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)