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Covid-19 Fiscal Support and its Effectiveness


Type

Working Paper

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Authors

Chudik, A. 
Mohaddes, K. 
Raissi, M. 

Abstract

This paper uses a threshold-augmented Global VAR model to quantify the macroeconomic effects of countries' discretionary fiscal actions in response to the Covid-19 pandemic and its fallout. Our results are threefold: (1) fiscal policy is playing a key role in mitigating the effects of the pandemic; (2) all else equal, countries that implemented larger fiscal support are expected to experience less output contractions; (3) emerging markets are also benefiting from the synchronized fiscal actions globally through the spillover channel and reduced financial market volatility.

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Keywords

TGVAR, Covid-19, threshold effects, fiscal policy

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Publisher

Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge

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