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A global analysis of the impact of COVID-19 stay-at-home restrictions on crime.

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Ahven, Andri 
Amram, Shai 

Abstract

The stay-at-home restrictions to control the spread of COVID-19 led to unparalleled sudden change in daily life, but it is unclear how they affected urban crime globally. We collected data on daily counts of crime in 27 cities across 23 countries in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Asia. We conducted interrupted time series analyses to assess the impact of stay-at-home restrictions on different types of crime in each city. Our findings show that the stay-at-home policies were associated with a considerable drop in urban crime, but with substantial variation across cities and types of crime. Meta-regression results showed that more stringent restrictions over movement in public space were predictive of larger declines in crime.

Description

Keywords

COVID-19, Crime, Europe, Humans, Middle East, Physical Distancing, Public Health, Quarantine, United States

Journal Title

Nat Hum Behav

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

2397-3374
2397-3374

Volume Title

5

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Sponsorship
The research in this paper is financially supported by the Utrecht University Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences COVID-19 Fund. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the manuscript.