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The future of zoonotic risk prediction

Published version
Peer-reviewed

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Authors

Farrell, Maxwell J.  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0452-6993
Grange, Zoe 
Mollentze, Nardus 

Abstract

In the light of the urgency raised by the COVID-19 pandemic, global investment in wildlife virology is likely to increase, and new surveillance programmes will identify hundreds of novel viruses that might someday pose a threat to humans. To support the extensive task of laboratory characterization, scientists may increasingly rely on data-driven rubrics or machine learning models that learn from known zoonoses to identify which animal pathogens could someday pose a threat to global health. We synthesize the findings of an interdisciplinary workshop on zoonotic risk technologies to answer the following questions. What are the prerequisites, in terms of open data, equity and interdisciplinary collaboration, to the development and application of those tools? What effect could the technology have on global health? Who would control that technology, who would have access to it and who would benefit from it? Would it improve pandemic prevention? Could it create new challenges? This article is part of the theme issue ‘Infectious disease macroecology: parasite diversity and dynamics across the globe’.

Description

Keywords

PART III: ZOONOTIC DISEASE RISK AND IMPACTS, Opinion piece, zoonotic risk, epidemic risk, access and benefit sharing, machine learning, global health, viral ecology

Journal Title

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0962-8436
1471-2970

Volume Title

376

Publisher

The Royal Society
Sponsorship
Wellcome Trust (217221/Z/19/Z)
Directorate for Biological Sciences (BII 2021909)
University of Toronto (EEB Fellowship)