Classifying global catastrophic risks


Change log
Authors
Wintle, BC 
Weitzdörfer, J 
Ó hÉigeartaigh, SS 
Sutherland, WJ 
Abstract

We present a novel classification framework for severe global catastrophic risk scenarios. Extending beyond existing work that identifies individual risk scenarios, we propose analysing global catastrophic risks along three dimensions: the critical systems affected, global spread mechanisms, and prevention and mitigation failures. The classification highlights areas of convergence between risk scenarios, which supports prioritisation of particular research and of policy interventions. It also points to potential knowledge gaps regarding catastrophic risks, and provides an interdisciplinary structure for mapping and tracking the multitude of factors that could contribute to global catastrophic risks.

Description
Keywords
Global catastrophic risk, Existential risk, Foresight, Planetary boundaries, Anthropogenic risk, Classification, Interdisciplinary, Risk assessment, Prevention and mitigation
Journal Title
Futures
Conference Name
Journal ISSN
0016-3287
1873-6378
Volume Title
102
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Sponsorship
Templeton World Charity Foundation (TWCF) (177155)