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Methods and contexts: Challenges of planning with scenarios in a hospital's division

dc.contributor.authorLamé, G
dc.contributor.authorJouini, O
dc.contributor.authorStal-Le Cardinal, J
dc.contributor.orcidLamé, G [0000-0001-9514-1890]
dc.contributor.orcidStal-Le Cardinal, J [0000-0003-3269-4484]
dc.date.accessioned2018-11-20T00:31:25Z
dc.date.available2018-11-20T00:31:25Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.description.abstractScenario planning is presented as a well-suited approach in uncertain environments such as healthcare systems. In this article, we report a project aimed at defining scenarios in the cancer division of a large hospital. The approach chosen was based on La Prospective school of scenario planning. The project stopped before scenarios could be elaborated, for lack of knowledge available on contextual factors influencing the system. From the analysis of this case study, we elaborate on the adequacy of scenario planning in the context of small healthcare delivery organisations. We conclude that most forms of scenario planning are unlikely to work in these cases, especially in the La Prospective approach. Perspectives are drawn for scenario planning in hospitals, and for research on the fit between scenario approaches and application contexts, in order to understand what approaches work in which circumstances.
dc.identifier.doi10.17863/CAM.32832
dc.identifier.eissn1873-6378
dc.identifier.issn0016-3287
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/285474
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier BV
dc.publisher.urlhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.09.005
dc.subjectScenario planning
dc.subjectFailed project
dc.subjectHealth services research
dc.subjectHospital management
dc.subjectLa Prospective
dc.titleMethods and contexts: Challenges of planning with scenarios in a hospital's division
dc.typeArticle
dcterms.dateAccepted2018-09-18
prism.endingPage90
prism.publicationDate2019
prism.publicationNameFutures
prism.startingPage78
prism.volume105
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate2019-01-01
rioxxterms.licenseref.urihttp://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserved
rioxxterms.typeJournal Article/Review
rioxxterms.versionAM
rioxxterms.versionofrecord10.1016/j.futures.2018.09.005

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