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Inference in High-Dimensional Online Changepoint Detection

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Repository DOI


Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Chen, Yudong 
Wang, Tengyao 
Samworth, Richard J 

Abstract

We introduce and study two new inferential challenges associated with the sequential detection of change in a high-dimensional mean vector. First, we seek a confidence interval for the changepoint, and second, we estimate the set of indices of coordinates in which the mean changes. We propose an online algorithm that produces an interval with guaranteed nominal coverage, and whose length is, with high probability, of the same order as the average detection delay, up to a logarithmic factor. The corresponding support estimate enjoys control of both false negatives and false positives. Simulations confirm the effectiveness of our methodology, and we also illustrate its applicability on the US excess deaths data from 2017--2020. The supplementary material, which contains the proofs of our theoretical results, is available online.

Description

Keywords

math.ST, stat.ME, stat.ME, stat.TH

Journal Title

Journal of the American Statistical Association

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0162-1459
1537-274X

Volume Title

Publisher

Taylor and Francis
Sponsorship
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/N031938/1)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/P031447/1)
European Commission Horizon 2020 (H2020) ERC (101019498)

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2024-04-24 08:59:25
Published version added
2023-04-03 23:30:33
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