Why Thirlwall's Law Is Not a Tautology: More on the Debate Over the Law
Accepted version
Peer-reviewed
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Repository DOI
Change log
Authors
McCombie, John
Abstract
This paper reconsiders the argument first debated in the 1980s and revisited by Blecker (2016) and Razmi (2016), inter alios, that Thirlwall’s law is nothing but a near identity. It is shown theoretically and by simulation analysis that this proposition is erroneous. It is also demonstrated that Razmi’s (2016) specification of the balance-of-payments constrained growth model is problematical. The paper concludes by assessing the effectiveness of the rate of change of relative prices for export and import growth. Recent evidence provides further support for the importance of non-price competitiveness in international trade and, hence, for Thirlwall’s law.
Description
Keywords
Thirlwall's law, balance-of-payments-constrained growth, tautology, price and non-price competitiveness
Journal Title
Review of Keynesian Economics
Conference Name
Journal ISSN
2049-5323
2049-5331
2049-5331
Volume Title
7
Publisher
Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.
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All rights reserved
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None