Convergence of sparse variational inference in gaussian processes regression


Type
Article
Change log
Authors
Burt, DR 
Rasmussen, CE 
Van Der Wilk, M 
Abstract

Gaussian processes are distributions over functions that are versatile and mathematically convenient priors in Bayesian modelling. However, their use is often impeded for data with large numbers of observations, N, due to the cubic (in N) cost of matrix operations used in exact inference. Many solutions have been proposed that rely on M << N inducing variables to form an approximation at a cost of O(NM^2). While the computational cost appears linear in N, the true complexity depends on how M must scale with N to ensure a certain quality of the approximation. In this work, we investigate upper and lower bounds on how M needs to grow with N to ensure high quality approximations. We show that we can make the KL-divergence between the approximate model and the exact posterior arbitrarily small for a Gaussian-noise regression model with M<<N. Specifically, for the popular squared exponential kernel and D-dimensional Gaussian distributed covariates, M=O((log N)^D) suffice and a method with an overall computational cost of O(N(log N)^{2D}(\log\log N)^2) can be used to perform inference.

Description
Keywords
Gaussian processes, approximate inference, variational methods, Bayesian non-parameterics, kernel methods
Journal Title
Journal of Machine Learning Research
Conference Name
Journal ISSN
1532-4435
1533-7928
Volume Title
21
Publisher
Microtome Publishing
Publisher DOI
Publisher URL