Combining Molecular Subtypes with Multivariable Clinical Models Has the Potential to Improve Prediction of Treatment Outcomes in Prostate Cancer at Diagnosis.


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Authors
Cardenas, Ryan 
Gnanapragasam, Vincent J 
Cooper, Colin S 
Clark, Jeremy 
Abstract

Clinical management of prostate cancer is challenging because of its highly variable natural history and so there is a need for improved predictors of outcome in non-metastatic men at the time of diagnosis. In this study we calculated the model score from the leading clinical multivariable model, PREDICT prostate, and the poor prognosis DESNT molecular subtype, in a combined expression and clinical dataset that were taken from malignant tissue at prostatectomy (n = 359). Both PREDICT score (p < 0.0001, IQR HR = 1.59) and DESNT score (p < 0.0001, IQR HR = 2.08) were significant predictors for time to biochemical recurrence. A joint model combining the continuous PREDICT and DESNT score (p < 0.0001, IQR HR = 1.53 and 1.79, respectively) produced a significantly improved predictor than either model alone (p < 0.001). An increased probability of mortality after diagnosis, as estimated by PREDICT, was characterised by upregulation of cell-cycle related pathways and the downregulation of metabolism and cholesterol biosynthesis. The DESNT molecular subtype has distinct biological characteristics to those associated with the PREDICT model. We conclude that the inclusion of biological information alongside current clinical prognostic tools has the potential to improve the ability to choose the optimal treatment pathway for a patient.

Description

Peer reviewed: True


Funder: Bob Champion Cancer Trust


Funder: The Masonic Charitable Foundation


Funder: The King Family


Funder: The Hargrave Foundation


Funder: The University of East Anglia


Funder: Prostate Cancer Research, Movember, Prostate Cancer UK


Funder: The Big C Cancer Charity


Funder: Cancer Research UK


Funder: The Andy Ripley Memorial Fund

Keywords
Article, prostate cancer, clinical models, predictive models, molecular subtypes, transcriptome, expression, statistical model
Journal Title
Curr Oncol
Conference Name
Journal ISSN
1198-0052
1718-7729
Volume Title
30
Publisher
MDPI AG