Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning


Type
Working Paper
Change log
Authors
Evans, George W. 
Honkapohja, Seppo 
Kaushik, Mitra 
Abstract

We consider the impact of anticipated policy changes when agents form expectations using adaptive learning rather than rational expectations. To model this we assume that agents combine limited structural knowledge with a standard adaptive learning rule. We analyze these issues using two well-known set-ups, an endowment economy and the Ramsey model. In our set-up there are important deviations from both rational expectations and purely adaptive learning. Our approach could be applied to many macroeconomic frameworks.

Description
Keywords
Taxation, Expectations, Ramsey Model
Is Part Of