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The Delphi technique in ecology and biological conservation: Applications and guidelines


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Authors

Mukherjee, Nibedita  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2970-1498
Hugé, J 
Sutherland, WJ 
Mcneill, J 
Van Opstal, M 

Abstract

jats:titleSummary</jats:title>jats:pjats:listjats:list-itemjats:pMany areas of science, including conservation and environmental management, regularly require engaging stakeholders or experts to produce consensus or technical inputs. The Delphi technique is an iterative and anonymous participatory method used for gathering and evaluating such expert‐based knowledge.</jats:p></jats:list-item>jats:list-itemjats:pWe outline the methodology of the Delphi technique and provide a taxonomy of its main variants. In addition, we refine the technique by providing suggestions to address common limitations (e.g. time consumption, attrition rate) in order to make the method more suitable for application in ecology and conservation.</jats:p></jats:list-item>jats:list-itemjats:pA comprehensive search for studies that have applied the Delphi technique in conservation and environmental management resulted in 36 papers. The Delphi technique has been applied to a range of issues, including developing decision support systems and predicting ecological impacts of climate change.</jats:p></jats:list-item>jats:list-itemjats:pThe papers reviewed suggest that the Delphi technique is an efficient, inclusive, systematic and structured approach that can be used to address complex issues. A major strength compared to other group‐based techniques is the reduced influence of social pressures among respondents.</jats:p></jats:list-item>jats:list-itemjats:pThe Delphi technique is relatively little used and seems undervalued. Given its wide range of possible applications, it could be applied more widely in evaluating evidence and providing expert judgments.</jats:p></jats:list-item></jats:list></jats:p>

Description

Keywords

conservation, expert, management support, modelling, participatory approach, policy, scenarios, the Delphi technique

Journal Title

Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

2041-210X
2041-210X

Volume Title

6

Publisher

Wiley
Sponsorship
The authors would like to thank Pinaki Bhattacharya, Maria Voigt, Francisco Benitez-Capistros and the three anonymous reviewers for their significant contributions in improving the earlier manuscript. WJS is funded by Arcadia. NM and JH were funded by the Belgian National Science Foundation (FNRS), MIS ID 1765914 project. NM was also funded by the Fondation Weiner Anspach (FWA) postdoctoral fellowship.