Currency premia and global imbalances


Type
Article
Change log
Authors
Corte, PD 
Riddiough, SJ 
Abstract

© 2016 The Author 2016. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. We show that a global imbalance risk factor that captures the spread in countries' external imbalances and their propensity to issue external liabilities in foreign currency explains the cross-sectional variation in currency excess returns. The economic intuition is simple: net debtor countries offer a currency risk premium to compensate investors willing to finance negative external imbalances because their currencies depreciate in bad times. This mechanism is consistent with exchange rate theory based on capital flows in imperfect financial markets. We also find that the global imbalance factor is priced in cross-sections of other major asset markets.

Description
Keywords
carry trade, currency risk premium, foreign exchange excess returns, global imbalances
Journal Title
The Review of Financial Studies
Conference Name
Journal ISSN
0893-9454
1465-7368
Volume Title
29
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Rights
All rights reserved