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The impact of 100% electrification of domestic heat in Great Britain

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Repository DOI


Type

Article

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Authors

Charitopoulos, VM 
Fajardy, M 
Chyong, CK 
Reiner, DM 

Abstract

Britain has been a global leader in reducing emissions, but little progress has been made on heat, which accounts for almost one third of UK emissions and the largest single share is domestic heat, which is responsible for 17% of the national total. Given the UK’s 2050 "Net-Zero" commitment, decarbonising heat is becoming urgent and currently one of the main pathways involves its electrification. Here, we present a spatially-explicit optimisation model that investigates the implications of electrifying domestic heat on the operation of the power sector. Using hourly historical gas demand data, we conclude that the domestic peak heat demand is almost 50% lower than widely-cited values. A 100% electrification pathway can be achieved with only a 1.3-fold increase in generation capacity compared to a power-only decarbonisation scenario, but only by leveraging the role of thermal energy storage technologies without which a further 40% increase would be needed.

Description

Keywords

Energy Modelling, Energy management, Energy systems

Journal Title

iScience

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

2589-0042
2589-0042

Volume Title

Publisher

Elsevier BV
Sponsorship
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/P026214/1)
EPSRC (via University College London (UCL)) (EP/T022930/1)
We acknowledge support for this research from EPSRC under grants EP/P026214/1;EP/T022930/1.