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Global agricultural N2O emission reduction strategies deliver climate benefits with minimal impact on stratospheric O3 recovery

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Repository DOI


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Abstract

jats:titleAbstract</jats:title>jats:pAgricultural nitrous oxide (Njats:sub2</jats:sub>O) emission reduction strategies are required given the potency of Njats:sub2</jats:sub>O as a greenhouse gas. However, the growing influence of Njats:sub2</jats:sub>O on stratospheric ozone (Ojats:sub3</jats:sub>) with declining stratospheric chlorine means the wider atmospheric impact of Njats:sub2</jats:sub>O reductions requires investigation. We calculate a Njats:sub2</jats:sub>O emission reduction of 1.35 TgNjats:sub2</jats:sub>O yrjats:sup-1</jats:sup> (~5% of 2020 emissions) using spatially separate deployment of nitrification inhibitors ($70–113 tCOjats:sub2</jats:sub>ejats:sup−1</jats:sup>) and crushed basalt (no-cost co-benefit) which also sequesters COjats:sub2</jats:sub>. In Earth System model simulations for 2025–2075 under high (SSP3-7.0) and low (SSP1-2.6) surface warming scenarios, this Njats:sub2</jats:sub>O mitigation reduces NOjats:subx</jats:sub>-driven Ojats:sub3</jats:sub> destruction, driving regional stratospheric Ojats:sub3</jats:sub> increases but with minimal impact on total Ojats:sub3</jats:sub> column recovery. By 2075, the radiative forcing of the combined Njats:sub2</jats:sub>O and COjats:sub2</jats:sub> reductions equates to a beneficial 9–11 ppm COjats:sub2</jats:sub> removal. Our results support targeted agricultural Njats:sub2</jats:sub>O emission reductions for helping nations reach net-zero without hindering Ojats:sub3</jats:sub> recovery.</jats:p>

Description

Acknowledgements: This work was supported by the UKRI Future Leaders Fellowship Programme awarded to Maria Val Martin (MR/T019867/1) and the Leverhulme Research Centre Award (RC-2015–02) to David J. Beerling. This work used Monsoon2, a collaborative high-performance computing facility funded by the Met Office and the Natural Environment Research Council, the ARCHER2 UK National Supercomputing Service, and JASMIN, the UK collaborative data analysis facility. We also thank Isabella Chiaravalloti and Noah Planavsky for useful comments in an initial draft of the manuscript.


Funder: UKRI Future Leaders Fellowship Programme (MR/T019867/1)


Funder: Leverhulme Research Centre Award (RC-2015–02)

Keywords

37 Earth Sciences, 3701 Atmospheric Sciences, 13 Climate Action

Journal Title

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

2397-3722
2397-3722

Volume Title

7

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC