Three Arguments for Absolute Outcome Measures
Accepted version
Peer-reviewed
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Repository DOI
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Authors
Sprenger, J
Stegenga, JM
Abstract
Data from medical research is typically summarized with various types of outcome measures. We present three arguments in favor of absolute over relative outcome measures. The first argument is from cognitive bias: relative measures promote the reference class fallacy and the overestimation of treatment effectiveness. The second argument is decision-theoretic: absolute measures are superior to relative measures for making a decision between interventions. The third argument is causal: interpreted as measures of causal strength, absolute measures satisfy a set of desirable properties, but relative measures don't. Absolute outcome measures outperform relative measures on all counts.
Description
Keywords
5003 Philosophy, 50 Philosophy and Religious Studies
Journal Title
Philosophy of Science
Conference Name
Journal ISSN
0031-8248
1539-767X
1539-767X
Volume Title
84
Publisher
University of Chicago Press
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Sponsorship
Research on this topic was financially supported by ERC Starting Inv estigator Grant No. 640638 (Sprenger).