Ecological Tipping Points: Uncertainties and Policy Approaches


Type
Article
Change log
Authors
Wong, Darren 
Abstract

Ecological tipping points have captured policymakers’ imaginations for framing local and global environmental change: if an environmental driver becomes too significant, an ecosystem may flip into an alternate state, often with catastrophic and far-reaching consequences. The article first explores the science of ecological tipping points and the uncertainties that limit their validity and value in providing a threshold marking abrupt ecosystem collapse across scales. I then argue that ecological tipping points may be more useful not as a scientific instrument to predict environmental change, but as a gauge of anthropogenic environmental trajectories and a socio-environmental imaginary to mobilise environmental action. Given the complexity and uncertainty of ecological science, I suggest that the science-policy interface of ecological tipping points will benefit from further research in threshold dynamics and ecosystems in transition due to human activity. Furthermore, a pluralistic, deliberative approach to policymaking that brings together different knowledge domains will facilitate adaptive environmental governance to effectively respond to changes in the physical environment and our understandings of it.

Description
Keywords
Ecological Science, Tipping Points, Ecosystems, Environmental Policy
Journal Title
Cambridge Journal of Science and Policy
Conference Name
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
2
Publisher
Cambridge University Science and Policy Exchange
Publisher DOI
Publisher URL