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A Bayesian multilevel model for populations of networks using exponential-family random graphs.

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Repository DOI


Change log

Authors

Lehmann, Brieuc 
White, Simon 

Abstract

UNLABELLED: The collection of data on populations of networks is becoming increasingly common, where each data point can be seen as a realisation of a network-valued random variable. Moreover, each data point may be accompanied by some additional covariate information and one may be interested in assessing the effect of these covariates on network structure within the population. A canonical example is that of brain networks: a typical neuroimaging study collects one or more brain scans across multiple individuals, each of which can be modelled as a network with nodes corresponding to distinct brain regions and edges corresponding to structural or functional connections between these regions. Most statistical network models, however, were originally proposed to describe a single underlying relational structure, although recent years have seen a drive to extend these models to populations of networks. Here, we describe a model for when the outcome of interest is a network-valued random variable whose distribution is given by an exponential random graph model. To perform inference, we implement an exchange-within-Gibbs MCMC algorithm that generates samples from the doubly-intractable posterior. To illustrate this approach, we use it to assess population-level variations in networks derived from fMRI scans, enabling the inference of age- and intelligence-related differences in the topological structure of the brain's functional connectivity. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11222-024-10446-0.

Description

Acknowledgements: B.L. and S.W. were supported by the UK Medical Research Council [Programme number U105292687]. B.L. was also supported by the UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council through the Bayes4Health programme [Grant number EP/R018561/1] and gratefully acknowledges funding from Jesus College, Oxford. This research was supported by the NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (BRC-1215-20014). The computational aspects of this research were supported by the Wellcome Trust Core Award Grant Number 203141/Z/16/Z and the NIHR Oxford BRC. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care.

Keywords

Bayesian linear regression, Brain networks, Exponential random graph model (ERGM), Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)

Journal Title

Stat Comput

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0960-3174
1573-1375

Volume Title

34

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Sponsorship
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/R018561/1)
National Institute for Health and Care Research (IS-BRC-1215-20014)