Regional Heterogeneity and U.S. Presidential Elections
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Authors
Ahmed, R.
Pesaran, M. H.
Abstract
This paper develops a recursive model of voter turnout and voting outcomes at the U.S. county level to investigate the socioeconomic determinants of recent U.S. presidential elections. It exploits cross-section variations across U.S. counties and investig
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Keywords
Voter Turnout, Popular and Electoral College Votes, Simultaneity and Recursive Identification, High Dimensional Forecasting Models, Lasso, OCMT