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Is last-mile delivery only viable in densely populated centres? A preliminary cost-to-serve simulation for online grocery in the UK

dc.contributor.authorSrai, Jagjit Singh
dc.contributor.authorSettanni, E
dc.contributor.orcidSrai, Jag [0000-0003-2277-2127]
dc.contributor.orcidSettanni, Ettore [0000-0001-5174-9423]
dc.date.accessioned2019-06-20T14:07:33Z
dc.date.available2019-06-20T14:07:33Z
dc.description.abstractThis paper proposes a conceptualisation of the ‘cost-to-serve’ linking the economic viability of last-mile delivery. Specifically, a cost-to-serve model is developed against business-specific indicators, such as share of online sales for a given catchment/geography. The outputs are then discussed in terms of e-commerce penetration and retailer density for the designated catchment/geography. Preliminary evidence is generated by means of computer simulation for a case in online retail of fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) with a focus on the UK. To this purpose a three-stage, pragmatic simulation approach is outlined, using widely available data in order to evaluate alternative last-mile network configurations, and their associated cost-to-serve cost curves. At each stage a sub-model generates, respectively, 1) order-generating locations; 2) basket composition; and 3) last mile delivery cost. Off-the-shelf tools are employed throughout to generate and visualise key analytics, thus facilitating replicability in real-world industrial settings. Results suggest that as well as having cost benefits with increased market penetration and/or increasing the number of drops per journey, as might be predicted, there appears significant potential to narrow the spread of cost variability for a given market penetration by influencing the available locations/time/price options to online customers. The proposed approach can support similar developments besides FMCG, for example in the pharmaceutical industry as direct-to-home medicine delivery becomes a credible option.
dc.identifier.doi10.17863/CAM.40867
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/293755
dc.language.isoeng
dc.titleIs last-mile delivery only viable in densely populated centres? A preliminary cost-to-serve simulation for online grocery in the UK
dc.typeConference Object
dcterms.dateAccepted2017-09-28
pubs.conference-finish-date2017-09-29
pubs.conference-name21st Cambridge International Manufacturing Symposium
pubs.conference-start-date2017-09-28
pubs.funder-project-idBirmingham City Council (35708-233529)
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate2017-09-28
rioxxterms.licenseref.urihttp://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserved
rioxxterms.typeConference Paper/Proceeding/Abstract
rioxxterms.versionAM
rioxxterms.versionofrecord10.17863/CAM.40867

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