Scholarly Works - Economics
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Compilation, Revision and Updating of the Global VAR (GVAR) Database, 1979Q2-2016Q4 (2018-02-03)This is the latest version of the Global VAR (GVAR) dataset. The GVAR is a global modelling framework for analyzing the international macroeconomic transmission of shocks, taking into account drivers of economic activity, ...
R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability (Taylor & Francis, 2019)A long-standing puzzle in macroeconomic forecasting has been that a wide variety of multivariate models have struggled to out-predict univariate models consistently. We seek an explanation for this puzzle in terms of ...
Corporate lobbying for environmental protection (Elsevier, 2018-07)Much of the time, polluting firms lobby against environmental protection, but there are major exceptions to this rule, for example in the regulation of both ozone and greenhouse gases. Political support from firms can be ...