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How accurate are estimates of glacier ice thickness? Results from ITMIX, the Ice Thickness Models Intercomparison eXperiment

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Farinotti, D 
Brinkerhoff, DJ 
Clarke, GKC 
Fürst, JJ 
Frey, H 

Abstract

© Author(s) 2017. Knowledge of the ice thickness distribution of glaciers and ice caps is an important prerequisite for many glaciological and hydrological investigations. A wealth of approaches has recently been presented for inferring ice thickness from characteristics of the surface. With the Ice Thickness Models Intercomparison eXperiment (ITMIX) we performed the first coordinated assessment quantifying individual model performance. A set of 17 different models showed that individual ice thickness estimates can differ considerably - locally by a spread comparable to the observed thickness. Averaging the results of multiple models, however, significantly improved the results: on average over the 21 considered test cases, comparison against direct ice thickness measurements revealed deviations on the order of 10 ± 24% of the mean ice thickness (1σ estimate). Models relying on multiple data sets - such as surface ice velocity fields, surface mass balance, or rates of ice thickness change - showed high sensitivity to input data quality. Together with the requirement of being able to handle large regions in an automated fashion, the capacity of better accounting for uncertainties in the input data will be a key for an improved next generation of ice thickness estimation approaches.

Description

Keywords

37 Earth Sciences, 3709 Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience

Journal Title

Cryosphere

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

1994-0416
1994-0424

Volume Title

11

Publisher

Copernicus GmbH
Sponsorship
Natural Environment Research Council (NE/K004999/1)
Natural Environment Research Council (NE/H020667/1)