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Deep Structured Mixtures of Gaussian Processes

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Conference Object

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Authors

Trapp, Martin 
Peharz, Robert 
Pernkopf, Franz 
Rasmussen, Carl Edward 

Abstract

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful nonparametric Bayesian regression models that allow exact posterior inference, but exhibit high computational and memory costs. In order to improve scalability of GPs, approximate posterior inference is frequently employed, where a prominent class of approximation techniques is based on local GP experts. However, local-expert techniques proposed so far are either not well-principled, come with limited approximation guarantees, or lead to intractable models. In this paper, we introduce deep structured mixtures of GP experts, a stochastic process model which i) allows exact posterior inference, ii) has attractive computational and memory costs, and iii) when used as GP approximation, captures predictive uncertainties consistently better than previous expert-based approximations. In a variety of experiments, we show that deep structured mixtures have a low approximation error and often perform competitive or outperform prior work.

Description

Keywords

46 Information and Computing Sciences, 4905 Statistics, 4602 Artificial Intelligence, 49 Mathematical Sciences, 4611 Machine Learning

Journal Title

Conference Name

International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics 2020

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

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Rights

All rights reserved
Sponsorship
Austrian Science Fund (FWF): I2706-N31, European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Grant Agreement No. 797223 – HYBSPN