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Predicting Power Conversion Efficiency of Organic Photovoltaics: Models and Data Analysis.

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

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Authors

Eibeck, Andreas 
Menon, Angiras 

Abstract

In this paper, the ability of three selected machine learning neural and baseline models in predicting the power conversion efficiency (PCE) of organic photovoltaics (OPVs) using molecular structure information as an input is assessed. The bidirectional long short-term memory (gFSI/BiLSTM), attentive fingerprints (attentive FP), and simple graph neural networks (simple GNN) as well as baseline support vector regression (SVR), random forests (RF), and high-dimensional model representation (HDMR) methods are trained to both the large and computational Harvard clean energy project database (CEPDB) and the much smaller experimental Harvard organic photovoltaic 15 dataset (HOPV15). It was found that the neural-based models generally performed better on the computational dataset with the attentive FP model reaching a state-of-the-art performance with the test set mean squared error of 0.071. The experimental dataset proved much harder to fit, with all of the models exhibiting a rather poor performance. Contrary to the computational dataset, the baseline models were found to perform better than the neural models. To improve the ability of machine learning models to predict PCEs for OPVs, either better computational results that correlate well with experiments or more experimental data at well-controlled conditions are likely required.

Description

Keywords

3403 Macromolecular and Materials Chemistry, 34 Chemical Sciences, 3406 Physical Chemistry, 40 Engineering, 4004 Chemical Engineering, 7 Affordable and Clean Energy

Journal Title

ACS Omega

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

2470-1343
2470-1343

Volume Title

6

Publisher

American Chemical Society (ACS)

Rights

All rights reserved
Sponsorship
National Research Foundation Singapore (via Cambridge Centre for Advanced Research and Education in Singapore (CARES)) (unknown)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/R029369/1)
This research is supported by the National Research Foundation, Prime Minister's Office, Singapore under its Campus for Research Excellence and Technological Enterprise (CREATE) programme. J. Bai acknowledges financial support provided by CSC Cambridge International Scholarship from Cambridge Trust and China Scholarship Council. MK gratefully acknowledges the support of the Alexander von Humboldt foundation. The authors are grateful to EPSRC (grant number: EP/R029369/1) and ARCHER for financial and computational support as a part of their funding to the UK Consortium on Turbulent Reacting Flows (www.ukctrf.com).
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