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dc.contributor.authorGlennon, Emma
dc.contributor.authorBruijning, Marjolein
dc.contributor.authorLessler, Justin
dc.contributor.authorMiller, Ian F
dc.contributor.authorRice, Benjamin L
dc.contributor.authorThompson, Robin N
dc.contributor.authorWells, Konstans
dc.contributor.authorMetcalf, C Jessica E
dc.date.accessioned2021-11-08T11:57:11Z
dc.date.available2021-11-08T11:57:11Z
dc.date.issued2021-12
dc.identifier.issn1755-4365
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/330428
dc.description.abstractThe emergence of infectious agents with pandemic potential present scientific challenges from detection to data interpretation to understanding determinants of risk and forecasts. Mathematical models could play an essential role in how we prepare for future emergent pathogens. Here, we describe core directions for expansion of the existing tools and knowledge base, including: using mathematical models to identify critical directions and paths for strengthening data collection to detect and respond to outbreaks of novel pathogens; expanding basic theory to identify infectious agents and contexts that present the greatest risks, over both the short and longer term; by strengthening estimation tools that make the most use of the likely range and uncertainties in existing data; and by ensuring modelling applications are carefully communicated and developed within diverse and equitable collaborations for increased public health benefit.
dc.languageen
dc.publisherElsevier BV
dc.rightsAll rights reserved
dc.rights.urihttp://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserved
dc.titleChallenges in modeling the emergence of novel pathogens.
dc.typeArticle
prism.endingPage100516
prism.number100516
prism.publicationDate2021
prism.publicationNameEpidemics
prism.startingPage100516
prism.volume37
dc.identifier.doi10.17863/CAM.77871
dcterms.dateAccepted2021-10-22
rioxxterms.versionofrecord10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100516
rioxxterms.versionAM
rioxxterms.licenseref.urihttp://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserved
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate2021-12
dc.contributor.orcidGlennon, Emma [0000-0001-9540-1998]
dc.identifier.eissn1878-0067
rioxxterms.typeJournal Article/Review
pubs.funder-project-idEngineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/R014604/1)
cam.orpheus.success2021-11-08 - Embargo set during processing via Fast-track
rioxxterms.freetoread.startdate2024-11-08


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