Genetically predicted cortisol levels and risk of venous thromboembolism
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<jats:sec id="sec001"> jats:titleIntroduction</jats:title> jats:pIn observational studies, venous thromboembolism (VTE) has been associated with Cushing’s syndrome and with persistent mental stress, two conditions associated with higher cortisol levels. However, it remains unknown whether high cortisol levels within the usual range are causally associated with VTE risk. We aimed to assess the association between plasma cortisol levels and VTE risk using Mendelian randomization.</jats:p> </jats:sec> <jats:sec id="sec002"> jats:titleMethods</jats:title> jats:pThree genetic variants in the jats:italicSERPINA1</jats:italic>/jats:italicSERPINA6</jats:italic> locus (rs12589136, rs11621961 and rs2749527) were used to proxy plasma cortisol. The associations of the cortisol-associated genetic variants with VTE were acquired from the INVENT (28 907 cases and 157 243 non-cases) and FinnGen (6913 cases and 169 986 non-cases) consortia. Corresponding data for VTE subtypes were available from the FinnGen consortium and UK Biobank. Two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses (inverse-variance weighted method) were performed.</jats:p> </jats:sec> <jats:sec id="sec003"> jats:titleResults</jats:title> jats:pGenetic predisposition to higher plasma cortisol levels was associated with a reduced risk of VTE (odds ratio [OR] per one standard deviation increment 0.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.62–0.87, p<0.001). The association was stronger for deep vein thrombosis (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.55–0.88, p = 0.003) than for pulmonary embolism which did not achieve statistical significance (OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.63–1.09, p = 0.184). Adjusting for genetically predicted systolic blood pressure inverted the direction of the point estimate for VTE, although the resulting CI was wide (OR 1.06, 95% CI 0.70–1.61, p = 0.780).</jats:p> </jats:sec> <jats:sec id="sec004"> jats:titleConclusions</jats:title> jats:pThis study provides evidence that genetically predicted plasma cortisol levels in the high end of the normal range are associated with a decreased risk of VTE and that this association may be mediated by blood pressure. This study has implications for the planning of observational studies of cortisol and VTE, suggesting that blood pressure traits should be measured and accounted for.</jats:p> </jats:sec>
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Wellcome Trust and the Royal Society (204623/Z/16/Z)
Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsrådet, 2016-01042 and 2019-00977)
Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare (Forte, 2018-00123)
Swedish Heart-Lung Foundation (Hjärt-Lungfonden, 20190247)
British Heart Foundation (RG/13/13/30194)
BHF Centre of Research Excellence, Oxford (RE/13/6/30180)
National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit (BRC-1215-20014)
NIHR Blood and Transplant Research Unit in Donor Health and Genomics (NIHR BTRU-2014-10024)